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Eastern Nile Planning Model

Abstract*

The objective of the Eastern Nile Planning Model Project for Eastern Africa is that countries in the Eastern Nile adopt an improved decision support modeling framework to identify water-related investments and evaluate them in a regional context. There are three components to the project, the first component being knowledge base development. The knowledge base developed will provide a shared, synoptic view of the Eastern Nile basins, including its...

* The project abstract is drawn from the PAD, SAR or PGD and may not accurately reflect the project's current nature

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Development Objective

The development objective of the ENPM Project is that countries in the Eastern Nile operationalize an improved decision support modeling framework to identify water-related investments and evaluate them in a regional context.

Key Details

Project Details

  • P103639

  • Closed

  • Nagaraja Harshadeep

  • N/A

  • Africa

  • June 22, 2009

  • (as of board presentation)

    September 1, 2009

  • September 9, 2009

  • US$ 7.10 million

  • N/A

  • Africa

  • 2010

  • US$ 6.50 million

  • C

  • Not Applicable

  • December 31, 2012

  • BANK APPROVED

  • June 27, 2013

  • Notes

Finances

Financing Plan (US$ Millions)

No data available.
Financier Commitments
Borrower/Recipient 0.60
Nile Basin Initiative Trust Fund 6.50

Total Project Financing (US$ Millions)

Product Line IBRD/IDA
IBRD Commitment N/A
IDA Commitment N/A
IBRD + IDA Commitment N/A
Lending Instrument
Grant Amount 6.50
Total Project Cost** 7.10

Summary Status of World Bank Financing (US$ Millions) as of June 30, 2025

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No data available.
Financier Approval Date Closing Date Principal Disbursed Repayments Interest, Charges & Fees

Detailed Financial Activity as of June 30, 2025

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No data available.
Period Financier Transaction Type Amount (US$)

Footnotes

Ratings

IMPLEMENTATION RATINGS

Name Review Date
Project Management Satisfactory 2013-01-07
Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory 2013-01-07
Financial Management Moderately Satisfactory 2013-01-07
Counterpart Funding Satisfactory 2013-01-07
Monitoring and Evaluation Satisfactory 2013-01-07
Overall Safeguards Rating Satisfactory 2013-01-07
Overall Safeguards Rating Satisfactory 2013-01-07
Procurement Moderately Satisfactory 2013-01-07
Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Satisfactory 2013-01-07

COMPLETION RATINGS

INDICATORIMPLEMENTATION COMPLETION & RESULTS REPORT: 06-28-2013
Outcomes
Risk to Development OutcomeSubstantial
Bank Performance
Borrower Performance
Government Performance
Implementing Agency

INDEPENDENT EVALUATION RATINGS

INDICATORICR REVIEW: 07-02-2015PROJECT PERFORMANCE ASSESSMENT REPORT:
Outcome RatingModerately Satisfactory N/a
Risk To Development OutcomeModerateN/a
Bank PerformanceModerately SatisfactoryN/a
Borrower PerformanceModerately SatisfactoryN/a
Government PerformanceModerately SatisfactoryN/a
Implementing AgencyModerately SatisfactoryN/a
Icr QualitySatisfactoryN/a
M&e QualityModestN/a

Results Framework

PROJECT DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVE INDICATORS

INDICATORBASELINECURRENTTARGET
  • Strengthened Institutions: Number of senior professionals in Regional and National Institutions using ENPMValue0.0050.0010.00
    DateOctober 30, 2009December 21, 2012December 31, 2012
    CommentENPM defined as knowledge base and tools developed as part of the project.There are a number of professionals working in regional and national institutions that are using ENPM products. This includesseveral professionals in NBI institutions, the 46 graduate students and young faculty involved in internship programs, faculty inkey universities in the EN, and government professionals. Hundreds of professionals have so far attended workshops facilitated bythe ENPM. In addition, ENTRO plans to continue to use these products in future workshops and in engaging regional, country, anddevelopment partner professionals.At least four (regional-level) and two each (national-level) are proficient in appropriate use of ENPM system tools
  • Strengthened Institutions: Number of regional and national meetings facilitated by ENPM outputsValue0.0012.004.00
    DateOctober 30, 2009December 21, 2012December 31, 2012
    CommentNoneThere have been a number of well-attended workshops organized at regional and national level in Egypt, Ethiopia, Sudan, andrecently South Sudan. Details provided in Project Completion Report.At least one (regional) and one each (national) meetings facilitated by ENPM outputs
  • Planning Facilitation: Number of projects in Eastern Nile for which Investment Strategies are based on ENPM analysisValue0.001.001.00
    DateJuly 29, 2009December 21, 2012December 31, 2012
    CommentNone at beginning of project.A range of joint multi-purpose project options were analyzed using ENPM tools (e.g. many sizing and cascade versions of Blue Nilemainstem dams).A number of investments of national significance were also analyzed (in a regional context wherever possible)relating to irrigation, watershed management, power systems, etc. to contribute to the development of investment strategies.TheENPM work has also helped shape the investments proposed under the Nile Cooperation for Results (NCORE) Project.Key EN projects analyzed (at least one major joint multipurpose/national investment)

INTERMEDIATE RESULTS INDICATORS

INDICATORBASELINECURRENTTARGET
  • Information Management Systems DevelopedValueNoYesYes
    DateOctober 30, 2009December 21, 2012December 31, 2012
    CommentFragmented databases with limited accessibilityA comprehensive set of knowledge bases were organized into geodatabases. A number of knowledge products (including interactivetoolkits, web portal, atlas, state of the basin report, etc.) and model interfaces have been developed.- Systematic knowledge base developed - Appropriate data management interfaces used -State of Eastern Nile Report with finalizedOne System Inventory -Suite of interactive knowledge products
  • Modeling Systems DevelopmentValueNoYesYes
    DateOctober 30, 2009December 21, 2012December 31, 2012
    CommentFragmented models at national level or one-off modeling for regional studies Basic Nile DSS modules under developmentA suite of ENPM modeling tools have been developed to analyze critical issues in the Eastern Nile. These include Soil and WaterAnalysis Tool (SWAT), RIBASIM, RiverWare, HEC Suite, Mike Basin, NileDSS Platform, GAMS, etc.A number of Thematic (e.g. watershed,power, irrigation) and Sub-basin toolkits (for all EN sub-basins) have also been developed.Models related to flood forecastingwere enhanced under ENPM, particularly related to hydrologic modeling in the Lake Tana area and in Sudan. Special studies alsocontributed to the use of analytical tools to examine dam break, surface and groundwater interactions using models such as Modflow,climate change, and water quality impacts on fisheries.The project achieved far more than the target of 3 projects to beevaluated. ENPM tools have been used to evaluatea number of projects (ranging from about 4 dams for storage and hydropower on theBlue Nile and varying combinations and sizing options for each, a number of irrigated agriculture development options, flood andfisheries models, etc.). The tools also provide a flexible platform to evaluate a plethora of other investment and climate optionsas required.Models fully operational and applied to various appropriate spatial locations in the EN
  • Institutional Capacity Strengthening: ENPM institutions operationalValueNoYesYes
    DateOctober 30, 2009December 21, 2012December 31, 2012
    CommentImplementation not initiated.At regional-level, the ENPM project has helped transform ENTRO into a credible center to provide regional knowledge and analyticalservices. ENTRO now has the enabling skills, knowledge base, modeling tools, networks, partnerships, and outreach mechanisms to beable to engage a wide variety of stakeholders to help them make more informed decisions on issues and options that have regionalsignificance. ENPM has also benefited other NBI activities (e.g. Nile DSS) and has helped shape the next generation of projects(e.g. NCORE) for the NBI.At national-level, the ENPM project has had mixed success. The project has helped developed excellentpartnerships with Universities in the EN countries, helping Universities to establish better professional networks both within andacross countries, and to partner with a number of ENTRO activities. The internship program established has been pioneering,helping a new generation of potential water professionals and leaders to acquire new skills, develop new regional collaborations,and contribute multi-sectoral perspectives to enhance ENTRO’s knowledge and analytical services. The project has also helpedimprove national government capacity through provision of equipment and training; however, this has been constrained by thecurrent status of regional cooperation on the EN.- ENPM staffing with basic office/IT resources completed at ENTRO - ENPM staffing with basic office/IT resources completed atNational-level - Regional working group and national working groups operational - University Outreach Centers established -Structured stakeholder meetings and Trainings conducted/ facilitated by ENPM
  • Appropriate interfacing with other activities (especially NBI Nile DSS)ValueNoYesYes
    DateOctober 30, 2009December 21, 2012December 31, 2012
    CommentBasic level discussions to synergize but many issues in coordination (especially with Nile DSS) still unclear.Collaboration was very limited initially (e.g. to sharing knowledge bases, co-locating activities in-country, and helping on eachothers’ procurements) due to each project implementing a number of activities with separate multi-country teams (very large in thecase of the NileDSS) as planned on a very tight timeframe. However, as the ENPM activities really picked up especially towards theend of the project, there was much more robust and meaningful collaboration. This included co-financing key consultancies relatedto software development for additional NileDSS features, adapters for additional models to be added to the Nile DSS framework, ITequipment and software to EN countries, synergizing remote sensing procurement, and co-organizing training workshops. This hasalso helped the NileSec and ENTRO to better agree on future knowledge, analysis, and partnership needs under the new NCORE project.Appropriate synergy of ENPM with other activites in the region. In particular, synergy with Nile Basin DSS on software adaptersand use of DSS framework.